Bet with honest math — not gut feel.
TrueProps ranks every MLB prop by model edge, publishes its own calibration, and shows you the factor behind each pick. No black boxes. No guru picks. Just math you can audit.
Honest math, not tips
Every pick is a model score vs a bookmaker line. We publish the edge, the model probability, and the implied probability — you see what the math says, not what a tout claims.
Calibration is public
When we say a pick is 60% to hit, we publish how often 60% picks actually hit. The banner above updates from the same data the product uses — no hand-picked testimonials.
Every pick shows its work
Each card surfaces the dominant factor — recent form, BvP history, platoon matchup, park. You can agree or disagree with the model for a reason, not a vibe.
On the roadmap
MLB today. NFL, NBA, NHL next.
The scoring engine is sport-agnostic by design. Each new sport is a spec, not a rewrite — we roll them out phased so every market we ship has real calibration before it hits your feed.
MLB
LiveNFL
2026 seasonNBA
2026-27 seasonNHL
2026-27 seasonWhy TrueProps
"The sports-betting tools I wanted didn't exist. Everyone was selling picks, no one was publishing calibration. So I built the tool I'd want to bet with — honest math, full attribution, zero 'guru' nonsense."
— D. Barrios, founder · Read the full story